The madness of March is inching closer by the day. In just a few weeks, 68 teams will have the same aspirations of making it to the Final Four in Atlanta, Ga.
I hate to burst their bubbles, but only four teams can make their dreams come true.
Here are some sure-fire contenders for the Final Four, a few squads who have impressive résumés but will falter in March, and some dark horses who could make a Cinderella run to Hotlanta.
CONTENDERS
Michigan
I say it every March — if you don’t have quality guards who can handle pressure, you’re not going to go far in the tournament. Luckily for Michigan, it has the best backcourt in the country: point guard Trey Burke and shooting guard Tim Hardaway Jr.
It doesn’t hurt that the Wolverines coach John Beilein is a proven winner in the tourney. Michigan will go as far as Burke and Hardaway Jr. will take them.
Gonzaga
ESPN analyst Fran Fraschilla agrees with me. Not only is Gonzaga as deep as it has ever been, it’s also the best team coach Mark Few has ever had. Forward Kelly Olynyk will be a First Team All-American by the time it’s all said and done.
No team wants to see Few and the Bulldogs on their side of the bracket. If I had to pick my champion today, it would be the Zags.
Louisville
You can’t teach experience in March. Don’t worry Cardinals fans, coach Rick Pitino and Louisville have plenty of it.
The Cardinals return a multitude of players from its Final Four run last season, including point guard Peyton Siva. Center Gorgui Dieng is the best shot-blocking presence in the nation, which you need come tournament time.
Florida
There have been two constants in the NCAA Tournament for the past decade: “One Shining Moment” and Florida coach Billy Donovan making a deep run.
Sure, the Southeastern Conference is pathetic, but you can’t blame the Gators. Forward Erik Murphy and center Patric Young are the best inside-out post combo in the country.
Oh, and guards Scottie Wilbekin, Kenny Boynton and Mike Rosario are pretty good too.
PRETENDERS
Georgetown
As long as John Thompson III is coaching at Georgetown and not his dad, I’m not buying the Hoyas as Final Four contenders.
Forward Otto Porter Jr. might be the Big East Player of the Year, but Georgetown doesn’t have the beef inside or the supplementary scoring necessary to be effective in March.
Duke
The only way the 2013 NCAA Tournament could end worse for the Blue Devils is if they would lose to a 16 seed.
After losing to 15-seeded Lehigh last March, I can’t trust Coach K and Duke this time around with a less talented team. Even if forward Ryan Kelly returns from injury, Duke might not make it out of the first weekend.
Miami (FL)
I’ve heard it all season: Miami is the most veteran and experienced team in college hoops. There’s just one problem: the Canes haven’t been to the NCAA Tournament since 2008.
I love coach Jim Larranaga. But down the stretch, other teams will have more composure on such an enormous stage.
DARK HORSES
New Mexico
Lobos coach Steve Alford is one of the most underrated basketball minds in America. New Mexico is currently leading the Mountain West, a better league than some of the power conferences this season.
Seven-footer Alex Kirk will be a matchup problem for any of the 68-team field and Kendall Williams can put the ball in the hoop, evidenced by his 46 point performance against Colorado State last weekend.
Butler
I don’t know if you can even label Butler as Cinderella after back-to-back national championship appearances in 2010 and 2011. But I guarantee you the Bulldogs will sneak up on a few upper-echelon teams in the tourney.
Rotnei Clark will be a household name by the end of the madness. Trust me.
Wisconsin
Bo knows. No, not Bo Jackson. Wisconsin coach Bo Ryan.
I hate the way the Badgers play, but there’s no denying their success in past tournaments. They beat Indiana and Michigan already this season and will compete with any team they’re matched up against.
Tournament field, you’ve been warned.